This section provides information on Canada's Population Size and Population Growth Rate. It also includes information on the components of population growth: Natural Increase and Net Migration.
In 1867, the year of Confederation, Canada's population was close to 3.5 million. Since then, the population size has grown steadily and has doubled about every 40 years. In recent years, however, the increase in population has slowed. In July 2011, Canada's population was estimated at just under 34.5 million.
Note: The 1867 figure applies to April 1 of that year. From 1902 to 1970, the figures apply to June 1. From 1971 to the present, the figures apply to July 1. The population of Newfoundland and Labrador is excluded before 1949.
Source: Statistics Canada. Historical statistics, estimated population and immigrant arrivals, annual (CANSIM Table 075-0001). Ottawa: Statistics Canada, 2010; and Statistics Canada. Estimates of population, by age group and sex for July 1, Canada, provinces and territories, annual (CANSIM Table 051-0001). Ottawa: Statistics Canada, 2011.
Warning: This data table may contain very wide content. Horizontal scrolling may be necessary.
| 1867 | 1910 | 1951 | 1991 | 2001 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 28.0 | 31.0 | 32.6 | 32.9 | 33.3 | 33.7 | 34.1 | 34.5 |
Population growth is the change in size of population between two dates. It is the result of a country's natural increase and its net migration.
The rate of growth in Canada has declined in recent years. Canada's average annual growth rate from 2000 to 2010 was 1.1%. The growth rate is expected to slow even further over the next several decades (0.9% between 2010 and 2060).
Note: From 1867 to 1901, the population count that was used to calculate population growth was that of April 1. From 1902 to 1970, the population count was that of June 1. From 1971 to present, the population count was that of July 1. The population of Newfoundland and Labrador is excluded before 1949.
Source: Statistics Canada. Historical Statistics, Estimated Population and Immigration Arrivals (CANSIM Table 75-0001). Ottawa, Statistics Canada, 2010; and Statistics Canada. Estimates of Population, Canada, the Provinces and Territories (CANSIM Table 051-0001). Ottawa: and Statistics Canada, 2010; Statistics Canada. Projected population, by projection scenario, sex and age group as of July 1, Canada, provinces and territories, annual (CANSIM Table 052-0005). Ottawa: Statistics Canada, 2010.
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| 1867-1880 | 1880-1890 | 1890-1900 | 1900-1910 | 1910-1920 | 1920-1930 | 1930-1940 | 1940-1950 | 1950-1960 | 1960-1970 | 1970-1980 | 1980-1990 | 1990-2000 | 2000-2010 | 2010-2060 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
Natural increase is the change in population between two points in time, calculated by subtracting the number of deaths from the number of births.
Between 2001 and 2011, there were 3,566,768 births and 2,336,141 deaths in Canada, resulting in a natural increase of 1,230,627.[1]
Natural increase largely depends on fertility, which is the number of births in relation to the number of women of childbearing age. The most frequently used indicator for measuring fertility is the total fertility rate (TFR).[2] Over the past 50 years, the total fertility rate has dropped significantly in Canada. From a high of 3.93 children per woman in 1959, the TFR underwent a sharp decline in the 1960s and then continued to drop until it reached a historic low of 1.49 children per woman in 2000. After that, the rate increased to reach 1.7 children per woman in 2009, nationally. The highest TFR values seen in Canada in 2009 were recorded in Nunavut (3.2) and the Northwest Territories (2.1). In contrast, Nova Scotia and British Columbia, in 2009, had the lowest values, namely 1.5 children per woman.[3]
The replacement fertility rate, or average number of children that the women of one generation would need to have to result - solely through natural increase - in a generation of the same size, is estimated at 2.1 children per woman for developed countries like Canada. However, it should be noted that very few developed countries reach this level, as indicated by the fact that in 2009, no G8 member had a total fertility rate reaching the replacement rate.[4]
Note: The 1921-1959 rates exclude Newfoundland and Labrador, Yukon, and the Northwest Territories; and the 1960-1990 rates exclude Newfoundland and Labrador.
Source: For 1921 to 1999 data, Statistics Canada, unpublished data. For 2000 to 2009, Statistics Canada. Crude birth rate, age-specific and total fertility rates (live births), Canada, provinces and territories, annual (CANSIM Table 102-4505). Ottawa: Statistics Canada, 2011.
Warning: This data table may contain very wide content. Horizontal scrolling may be necessary.
| 1921 | 1922 | 1923 | 1924 | 1925 | 1926 | 1927 | 1928 | 1929 | 1930 | 1931 | 1932 | 1933 | 1934 | 1935 | 1936 | 1937 | 1938 | 1939 | 1940 | 1941 | 1942 | 1943 | 1944 | 1945 | 1946 | 1947 | 1948 | 1949 | 1950 | 1951 | 1952 | 1953 | 1954 | 1955 | 1956 | 1957 | 1958 | 1959 | 1960 | 1961 | 1962 | 1963 | 1964 | 1965 | 1966 | 1967 | 1968 | 1969 | 1970 | 1971 | 1972 | 1973 | 1974 | 1975 | 1976 | 1977 | 1978 | 1979 | 1980 | 1981 | 1982 | 1983 | 1984 | 1985 | 1986 | 1987 | 1988 | 1989 | 1990 | 1991 | 1992 | 1993 | 1994 | 1995 | 1996 | 1997 | 1998 | 1999 | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
Net migration is the variation of the population between two dates resulting from the difference between the number of immigrants and the number of emigrants.
Since Confederation, immigration has been an important contributor to Canada's population growth. In 1913, immigration peaked at just over 400,000 immigrants. From 2001 to 2011, it averaged a little less than one quarter of a million (245,613) immigrants per year.
Between 2001 and 2011, there were 2,456,133 immigrants and 464,765 emigrants, resulting in a net migration of about 1,991,000 persons.[5]
Canada (5.9%) and the United States (4.4%) were the two countries in the G8 that had the biggest population growth rates between 2006 and 2011. [6]
Note: The population of Newfoundland and Labrador is included beginning in 1949. From 1867 to 1901, the figures apply to April 1. From 1902 to 1971, the figures apply to June 1. From 1972 on the figures apply to July 1.
Source: For 1867 to 1971 data, Statistics Canada. Historical Statistics, Estimated Population and Immigration Arrivals (CANSIM Table 75-0001). Ottawa: Statistics Canada, 2010; and for 1972 to 2010 data, Statistics Canada. Components of population growth, Canada, provinces and territories, annual (CANSIM Table 051-0004). Ottawa: Statistics Canada, 2011.
Warning: This data table may contain very wide content. Horizontal scrolling may be necessary.
| 1867 | 1868 | 1869 | 1870 | 1871 | 1872 | 1873 | 1874 | 1875 | 1876 | 1877 | 1878 | 1879 | 1880 | 1881 | 1882 | 1883 | 1884 | 1885 | 1886 | 1887 | 1888 | 1889 | 1890 | 1891 | 1892 | 1893 | 1894 | 1895 | 1896 | 1897 | 1898 | 1899 | 1900 | 1901 | 1902 | 1903 | 1904 | 1905 | 1906 | 1907 | 1908 | 1909 | 1910 | 1911 | 1912 | 1913 | 1914 | 1915 | 1916 | 1917 | 1918 | 1919 | 1920 | 1921 | 1922 | 1923 | 1924 | 1925 | 1926 | 1927 | 1928 | 1929 | 1930 | 1931 | 1932 | 1933 | 1934 | 1935 | 1936 | 1937 | 1938 | 1939 | 1940 | 1941 | 1942 | 1943 | 1944 | 1945 | 1946 | 1947 | 1948 | 1949 | 1950 | 1951 | 1952 | 1953 | 1954 | 1955 | 1956 | 1957 | 1958 | 1959 | 1960 | 1961 | 1962 | 1963 | 1964 | 1965 | 1966 | 1967 | 1968 | 1969 | 1970 | 1971 | 1972 | 1973 | 1974 | 1975 | 1976 | 1977 | 1978 | 1979 | 1980 | 1981 | 1982 | 1983 | 1984 | 1985 | 1986 | 1987 | 1988 | 1989 | 1990 | 1991 | 1992 | 1993 | 1994 | 1995 | 1996 | 1997 | 1998 | 1999 | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.666 | 12.765 | 18.63 | 24.706 | 27.773 | 36.578 | 50.05 | 39.373 | 27.382 | 25.633 | 27.082 | 29.807 | 40.492 | 38.505 | 47.991 | 112.458 | 133.624 | 103.824 | 79.169 | 69.152 | 84.526 | 88.766 | 91.6 | 75.067 | 82.165 | 30.996 | 29.633 | 20.829 | 18.79 | 16.835 | 21.716 | 31.9 | 44.543 | 41.681 | 55.747 | 89.102 | 138.66 | 131.252 | 141.465 | 211.653 | 272.409 | 143.326 | 173.694 | 286.839 | 331.288 | 375.756 | 400.87 | 150.484 | 36.665 | 55.914 | 72.91 | 41.845 | 107.698 | 138.824 | 91.728 | 64.224 | 133.729 | 124.164 | 84.907 | 135.982 | 158.886 | 166.783 | 164.993 | 104.806 | 27.53 | 20.591 | 14.382 | 12.476 | 11.277 | 11.643 | 15.101 | 17.244 | 16.994 | 11.324 | 9.329 | 7.576 | 8.504 | 12.801 | 22.722 | 71.719 | 64.127 | 125.414 | 95.217 | 73.912 | 194.391 | 164.498 | 168.868 | 154.227 | 109.946 | 164.857 | 282.164 | 124.851 | 106.928 | 104.111 | 71.689 | 74.586 | 93.151 | 112.606 | 146.758 | 194.743 | 222.876 | 183.974 | 161.531 | 147.713 | 121.9 | 117.036 | 138.526 | 217.456 | 209.283 | 170.028 | 130.931 | 100.967 | 84.518 | 143.825 | 127.238 | 135.339 | 101.404 | 88.592 | 83.925 | 88.657 | 130.88 | 152.211 | 177.632 | 203.357 | 221.382 | 244.281 | 266.89 | 235.36 | 220.738 | 217.478 | 224.857 | 194.459 | 173.194 | 205.71 | 252.533 | 256.334 | 199.193 | 239.082 | 244.579 | 254.4 | 238.125 | 249.6 | 245.289 | 270.512 | 258.9 |
Statistics Canada. Components of population growth, Canada, provinces and territories, annual (persons) (CANSIM Table 051-0004). Ottawa: Statistics Canada, 2011.
Since the data are collected from July 1 of a given year to June 30 of the following year; the data for the 2000-2010 period are the data for the period from July 1, 2001 to June 30, 2011.
[Back to Text]Statistics Canada. Definitions available at: http://www.statcan.gc.ca/concepts/definitions/fertility-fecondite-eng.htm (cited May 3, 2012).
[Back to Text]Statistics Canada. Live Births, Crude Birth Rate, Age-Specific and Total Fertility Rates, Canada, Provinces and Territories, (CANSIM table 102-4505). Ottawa: Statistics Canada, 2011.
[Back to Text]Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). OECD(2012), Statistics from A to Z: Fertility. OECD Statistics. Available from OECD.org [accessed March 19, 2012].
[Back to Text]
Statistics Canada. Components of population growth, Canada, provinces and territories, annual (persons) (CANSIM Table 051-0004). Ottawa: Statistics Canada, 2011.
Since the data are collected from July 1 of a given year to June 30 of the following year; the data for the 2000-2010 period are the data for the period from July 1, 2001 to June 30, 2011.
[Back to Text]Statistics Canada. The Canadian Population in 2011, "Population Counts and Growth". Ottawa: Statistics Canada, 2011. (Cat. 98-310-X2011001, see Figure 1, P.4).
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